COVID-19 Outbreak: Weekly Global Report for Friday, October 29, 2021
AdvaMed recognizes that its members, particularly those with global government affairs responsibilities, are tracking COVID-19 related developments around the world to assess the public health and economic impacts on their businesses. Knowing that companies are consuming information from a variety of sources, AdvaMed's global team would like to provide members with a weekly snapshot of the key statistics, policy developments and advocacy initiatives underway in our priority markets. If you have any suggestions, we welcome your feedback.
Global
- Weekly COVID-19 statistics. Global cases reached 245 million. Deaths around the world have almost reached 5 million. Around 7 billion vaccines have been administered.
- U.S. cases exceeded 45.2 million with deaths increasing to 742,000.
- Staff Contact: Ralph Ives (rives@advamed.org).
China
- The latest: Parts of northern China are bracing for more COVID-19 curbs as a wave of cases raises concerns of a broader outbreak, with three areas enforcing lockdowns, some schools halting classes, and an aerospace firm delaying work on a rocket project. The latest cluster, involving mostly northern and northwestern China, has reached the capital, Beijing, and the neighbouring Hebei province, where officials pledged stringent measures against the virus as they stepped up preparations for the 2022 Winter Olympics Games in February. Many of the recent cases are contacts of an elderly couple who had travelled in the provinces of Shaanxi and Gansu and the Chinese region of Inner Mongolia before being confirmed as COVID-19 patients last Sunday. It remains unclear whether the married couple were the source of the outbreak, or where they had contracted the virus. However, Chinese health officials know the Delta variant is at fault for the latest outbreak.
- Will Beijing soften it zero-tolerance approach?:In recent and separate interviews with Chinese state media outlets last week, China’s top health officials hinted that the country would reopen its borders once approximately 85% of its population has been vaccinated, suggesting that China may have to forego its stringent zero-tolerance COVID-19 policy and learn to “coexist” with the virus as it becomes endemic and its fatality rate becomes more akin to the seasonal flu. In an interview, Gao Fu, the head of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, appeared to indicate that China would start to “open up” by early 2022 if it reached an 85% inoculation rate. Separately, China’s top infectious disease expert Zhong Nanshan also gave similar remarks over the National Day holiday, stating that China would “completely reopen” its borders after “the vast majority of the population [80%-85%] has been vaccinated,” adding: “In the long run, adopting the strictest pandemic control measures are not feasible, and will be a huge burden on China.” According to official numbers, China has fully vaccinated (double dose) 78% of its population, having administered 2.22 billion doses of vaccines as of yesterday. Still, given the upcoming Winter Olympics in Beijing next February and the 20th Party Congress next fall, many observers are uncertain how far China may go in softening its containment measures.
- New restrictions in the Chinese capital: Authorities in Beijing have urged residents not to leave the city unless necessary and restricted those in regions with new infections from entering the Chinese capital, Xu Hejian, a spokesperson for the Beijing municipal government, told a press briefing on Monday. Since last week, more than a dozen cases have been reported in the Chinese capital. Local authorities said the cases are linked to tourist groups visiting north China's Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Beijing has improved its daily nucleic acid testing capacity from 746,000 to more than 1.56 million. Its testing labs have increased from 249 by the end of last year to 282 currently, according to the Beijing authorities.
- Vaccination program for children aged 3-11: China has launched a nationwide COVID-19 vaccination campaign for minors aged three to 11, in a bid to increase mass vaccine coverage and accelerate the building of herd immunity, as a new rebound in cases hits almost one-third of the country and becomes one of the worst since the initial outbreak in 2020. Furthermore, local city and provincial-level governments in at least five provinces issued notices in recent days announcing that children aged from three to 11 will be required to get vaccinated. China in June had approved two vaccines – Sinopharm’s from the Beijing Institute of Biological Products and Sinovac – for children aged three to 17, but it has only been vaccinating those aged 12 and older.
- Beijing to offer booster shots: Beijing on Thursday reported one newly confirmed COVID-19 case linked to the recent epidemic flare-up in Northwest China, which has been identified as caused by the Delta variant, local health authorities said. The capital city has launched booster shot services for residents, targeting key groups including people going abroad and staff working at ports and medical services.
- Despite a massively efficient vaccine roll-out since May, the Chinese government has given no indication it intends to change its current COVID playbook of closed borders, strict two-week quarantine for foreign arrivals, and aggressive lockdowns and mass testing when flareups arise. Beijing remains ever cautious as the Delta variant circulates worldwide and the efficacy of China’s vaccines is questioned. Many businesses expect that China may retain stringent travel restrictions through at least February 2022, when Beijing will host the Winter Olympics.
- Status of the vaccination campaign: 1.09 billion Chinese citizens (77% of the population) have received at least one COVID vaccine dose as of this Monday, according to the National Health Commission (NHC). Among them, nearly 970 million have been fully vaccinated with two shots. About 162 million doses of Covid vaccines have been given to minors ages 12 to 17. The NHC recently said it would allow some groups of people at higher risk, including those 60 or older, to take a booster shot six months after full vaccination. The decision was based on data from domestic vaccine makers Sinovac and Sinopharm on the performance of their inactivated-virus vaccines after six months.
- China to build permanent quarantine centers for foreign arrivals: Health authorities have ordered cities in China to build or convert facilities into permanent quarantine centers for overseas arrivals, as Beijing pushes ahead with its zero-tolerance policy on COVID-19. City governments have been told to move away from using hotels for quarantine and instead provide dedicated facilities. There should be 20 quarantine rooms per 10,000 people available by the end of October, according to National Health Commission official Cui Gang.
- Weekly COVID-19 statistics: China’s total COVID cases now stand at 109,353, an increase of 343 cases over the previous week. The number of reported deaths remained unchanged at 4,849.
- China’s vaccines and approval date: Sinopharm (approved Dec. 31, 2020); Sinovac’s CoronaVac (approved on Feb. 5); CanSino Biologics and a second Sinopharm vaccine (both approved in April). Three other vaccines have been approved in May and June.
- China updates its mass testing protocol: In a city with a population greater than 5 million people, mass testing shall now be completed within three days, according to the updated protocol issued by the National Health Commission. The time limit was set at three to five days for cities of the same size in the previous protocol introduced in February. For cities with less than 5 million people, the time limit for completing city-wide testing remains unchanged at two days.
- Chinese airports toughen up quarantine rules: Airports around China are lengthening the amount of time some international aircrews and ground staff must spend in quarantine, after containment breaches sparked community spread of the highly infectious delta variant in several regions. Some regional regimes will see airport workers judged to be a higher risk isolated for up to 28 days after two weeks of work. These represent far tougher restrictions than those currently mandated by the country’s national aviation authority.
- Post-COVID healthcare system upgrade: China will provide funding to build new institutions and infrastructure to fight infectious diseases and improve healthcare, the state planning body said in a "five-year plan" for the sector. The central government will subsidize the construction of new "prevention bases" for infectious disease and new grassroots medical facilities across the country, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said in the plan, published this Thursday. It said China was facing difficult healthcare challenges, including new emerging infectious diseases, the increasingly heavy burden of chronic illnesses as well as the growing need for mental health services. "The public health system is in urgent need of improvement, and the ability to prevent, control and treat major epidemics is not strong," it warned. High-quality medical resources are also insufficient and not evenly distributed, and there are also gaps when it comes to treating women and children, it added.
- China’s own mRNA vaccine: China’s first messenger RNA (mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine, is expected to start phase three tests in many overseas countries soon, the chief executive officer of Suzhou Abogen Biosciences, the vaccine’s developer, said this week. Together with Chinese clinical contract research organization Tigermed, Abogen is preparing to conduct overseas Phase III clinical trials using 28,000 volunteers in countries including Mexico, Columbia and Pakistan. The vaccine can be stored at temperatures of between two and eight degrees centigrade for at least seven months, making it convenient for mass distribution. The clinical trials will not select specific variants, and will also not reject any strains, Ying told Yicai Global. The Suzhou, eastern Jiangsu province-based firm is also developing a separate mRNA vaccine candidate that will target the variants that were first found in South Africa and India.
- Vaccine diplomacy: CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping pledged to provide two billion doses of COVD-19 vaccines to the world by the end of this year. Xi also declared that the COVAX global vaccine distribution initiative would receive a donation from China of $100mln. China has already supplied over 770 million vaccine doses to other countries, according to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
- China’s response to a new WHO investigation into COVID’s origins: Beijing has called on the World Health Organization to uphold an “objective, scientific” approach as the UN body prepares to launch the next phase of research into the origins of the coronavirus. The comments came after the WHO on Wednesday revealed the group of international scientists who will lead future research to try to trace the emergence of the virus, which was first identified in China nearly two years ago. Speaking on Thursday, Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian also appeared to leave the door open to future field missions in the country. “China will continue to support and participate in the global scientific origins tracing, and resolutely oppose any form of political manipulation,” Zhao said, when asked whether China would allow further missions if asked by the WHO group. The new group – Scientific Advisory Group for the Origins of Novel Pathogens, or Sago – comprising 26 scientists from six continents, is the WHO’s attempt to defuse political tensions around the research.
- China’s Economy: China's economy hit its slowest pace of growth in a year in the third quarter, hurt by power shortages and wobbles in the property sector, highlighting the challenge facing policymakers as they seek to prop up a faltering recovery while reining in the real estate sector. Gross domestic product expanded 4.9% from a year ago, missing forecasts, as attempts by Beijing to curb lending to the property sector exacerbated the fallout from electricity shortages which sent factory output back to levels last seen in early 2020, when heavy COVID-19 curbs were in place. The world's second-largest economy had staged an impressive rebound from last year's pandemic slump but the recovery has lost steam from the blistering 18.3% growth clocked in the first quarter.
- S.-China relations: President Joe Biden’s pick to be ambassador to China drew sharp lines with Beijing over its “aggressive” actions in the Indo-Pacific but said “American strength” gives the U.S. key advantages in the relationship between the world’s two largest economies. Nicholas Burns, a longtime diplomat who previously served as U.S. ambassador to NATO and Greece, said in his Senate confirmation hearing that China has been the aggressor in its relationship with Taiwan, Vietnam, Japan and the Philippines. He also said he’s skeptical about Chinese intentions on issues like 5G technology. But he emphasized his view that the U.S. has the upper hand. “Beijing proclaims that the East is rising and the West is in decline,” Burns said. “I’m confident in our own country,” he added, citing the U.S. military, foreign service and educational system as advantages over China. “The People’s Republic of China is not an Olympian power.”
- Staff Contact: Kyle Churchman (kchurchman@advamed.org)
India (No Updates this week)
Japan
- Weekly COVID-19 statistics – 1,718,361 total reported cases and 18,250 toral reported deaths compared to 1,716,477 total reported cases and 18,187 total reported deaths last week.
- Japan has seen a remarkable drop in new cases. Daily cases nationwide have dropped from a peak of around 25,000 in August to 269 this week.
- The Japanese government will lift the attendance cap of 10,000 at large-scale events such as concerts and sports events on November 1. The government lifted the COVID-19 state of emergency covering 19 prefectures including Tokyo at the end of September. The emergency mainly involved requests for restaurants and bars to reduce their hours and not serve alcohol. With the lifting, Japan is free of emergency requirements for the first time in more than six months.
- After a comparatively slow start, Japan's vaccination program has picked up speed, with 71% of the population now fully vaccinated.
- Japan plans to start administering third doses of COVID-19 vaccine in December to those who had their second doses at least 8 months ago.
- Japan is easing its quarantine restrictions for travelers entering the country who been fully vaccinated with the Pfizer, Moderna, or Astra Zeneca vaccines. They will no longer be required to self-isolate in designated facilities for 3 days before completing a 14-day quarantine. Instead, they will need to self-quarantine at home for 10 days and then pass a PCR test.
- Japan has agreed to buy 150 million doses of Novavax's coronavirus vaccine, with Japanese firm Takeda expecting to manufacture the formula for distribution early next year.
- Japan provided final approval to the Moderna vaccine and the Astra Zeneca vaccine on May 21. The Pfizer vaccine was approved in February. J&J submitted its application for approval of its vaccine on May 24. It is expected to be approved and available for use around the beginning of 2022.
- The Japanese government continues to maintain its controls on foreign nationals entering the country. Reciprocal business travel arrangements that were forged with China, South Korea, Singapore, and Vietnam remain suspended. Tokyo’s restrictions on foreign entries except for returning nationals remain in place.
- Staff Contact: Phil Agress (PAgress@AdvaMed.org).
Korea
- Korea added 1,952 cases Thursday to reach 356,305. This in an increase of slightly over 500 cases per day from the rates seen last week. 1,930 of 1,952 (98.87%) were locally transmitted while 22 (1.13%) originated overseas. The country has not seen dramatic spikes recently, but the persistence of cases in the current ranges is a concern.
- Korea is reported 11 new deaths per day and has a death rate of 55 per million. These are significant but are also good in comparison to most other countries.
- Korea has administered 40,891,088 first doses (79.6% of the population) and 36,709,777 second doses (71.5% of the population) of the COVID-19 vaccine. 72.1% of the population is now fully vaccinated with an additional 7.8% having received a first dose.
- South Korea officials credit strict social distancing measures as the reason they are not seeing greater or more dramatic spikes.
- Some restrictions have been eased to give leeway to vaccinated people and allow more students to take in-person classes to mitigate the prolonged pandemic's impact on the local economy.
- The government is pushing to introduce its "Living with COVID-19" phase Nov. 1 at the earliest, as the nation's vaccination rate is now over 70 percent.
- The Ministry has said the government was "considering" beginning the plan that day, under which the health authorities will ease social distancing measures and focus more on managing critically ill patients rather than all virus cases. Recent spikes in cases this week and last have the government officials carefully examining their plans.
- Unification Minister Lee In-young will be participating in President Moon Jae-in's overseas trip, in a rare move during which he is expected to play a role in promoting peace efforts on the Korean Peninsula, according to diplomatic observers.
- Foreigners arriving at South Korean airports face a mandatory 14-day quarantine procedure and must present a negative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) coronavirus test taken within 72 hours of their departure to the nation. However, some people who have been vaccinated against COVID-19 in countries other than Korea will be exempt from the 14-day self-quarantine requirement, meaning they can move around freely as soon as they enter the country. A similar exemption has been in place since May for those who were vaccinated in Korea.
- The exemption applies only to people who were fully vaccinated at least two weeks before traveling to Korea. It also applies only to those who have received a COVID-19 vaccine that is approved for emergency use by the World Health Organization. The list includes those from Pfizer, Janssen, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Sinopharm and Covishield. All international arrivals still have to show a negative result from a COVID-19 test taken within 72 hours of departing for Korea. Without one, you can still be refused entry.
- The exemption also only applies to those visiting Korea for business or academic purposes, for the public interest or to visit immediate family members. Otherwise, you still have to self-quarantine for two weeks upon entry. Immediate family members are defined as spouses, lineal ascendants or descendants, and lineal ascendants or descendants of spouses. You will have to fill out forms and prove your intent to visit them. The necessary forms are available online from Korean embassies and consulates abroad or other government agencies.
- Those coming from countries experiencing the spread of certain COVID-19 variants are also ineligible for this exemption.
- For a list of current travel and entry restrictions, see the following link: https://www.koreaonlinevisa.com/travel-restrictions/.
- Resources: http://ncov.mohw.go.kr/en/.
- Staff Contact: Joseph Gatewood (jgatewood@advamed.org).
ASEAN
Cases
- ASEAN now has 13,104,489 total reported cases compared to 12,893,187 total reported cases last week. It has a total of 277,378 reported deaths compared to 274,010 reported deaths last week.
- The growth in new cases continues to drop significantly across the ASEAN region with the exception of Singapore, which continues to experience a large number of new cases. ASEAN added its lowest number of new cases last week since the end of June. The region added 211,000 new cases over the past week, down sharply from the high of 664,000 cases added the week ending July 28.
- Indonesia: New cases and fatalities continue to fall to extremely low levels. Indonesia recorded fewer than 5,000 new cases last week, the lowest since June 2020. There is concern, however, of a possible new wave during the upcoming holiday season. Indonesia is now reporting 4,242,532 total cases and 143,333 total deaths compared to 4,237,834 total cases and 143,120 total deaths the previous week. Indonesia accounts for 52% of total deaths in ASEAN since the start of the pandemic.
- Malaysia: Malaysia is preparing to shift into an endemic COVID-19 phase where it will not impose wide lockdowns again if cases rise. The number of new cases is at the lowest since late June. Those vaccinated may now dine in restaurants, reopen businesses, and visit salons. Total reported cases have grown from 2,407,382 to 2,448,372 over the past week. Total deaths have grown from 28,138 to 28,674 over that time.
- Thailand: The number of new cases is declining. Total reported cases grew from 1,821,579 to 1,884,973 over the past week and reported deaths have increased from 18,559 to 19,006 over that time.
- Philippines: New case numbers in the Philippines are moderating and the country is starting to ease restrictions on some businesses. The Philippines is now reporting 2,772,491 total cases, up from 2,740,111 total cases the previous week. Total reported deaths have increased from 41,237 to 42,575 over that time.
- Vietnam: Total reported cases grew from 873,901 to 905,477 over the past week. Total reported deaths grew from 21,416 to 21,920 over that time. Authorities have permitted Ho Chi Minh City to carefully begin relaxing social distancing measures and to gradually reopen. The city will also license businesses and production facilities to resume operations provided that they meet safety requirements.
- Singapore: The number of new cases in Singapore continues to grow and has nearly doubled since October 1. The country has paused the easing of social restrictions amid growing case numbers, despite an 80%+ vaccination rate. Total reported cases increased from 158,587 to 184,419 over the past week. The total number of deaths increased rose from 264 to 349 over that period.
- Cambodia: Cambodia has experienced nearly three weeks of drastically lower case counts. Total reported cases increased from 117,352 to 118,220 over the past week. Total reported deaths grew from 2,704 to 2,776 over that period.
- Laos: Laos reported a growth in total cases from 33,998 to 38,281 over the past week. It reported 59 total deaths, up from 49 last week.
Vaccinations
- Indonesia authorized the Pfizer vaccine for emergency use on July 15. It will be given to Indonesians aged 12 years and up. It has been administering the Sinovac and AstraZeneca vaccines. Only 25.6% of the population is fully vaccinated.
- Malaysia has increased its vaccination rate sharply in recent weeks. The government announced this week that civil servants may face disciplinary action or termination if they fail to complete the COVID-19 vaccination process. Malayia has fully vaccinated 74.7% of its population.
- The Philippines began its immunization program after receiving its first batch of the COVID-19 vaccine (600,00 doses of Sinovac Biotech's CoronaVac, donated by China). It is due to receive another 25 million doses of CoronaVac this year.
- However, there is little public support for the inoculation drive. Polls show that fewer than one third of Filipinos are willing to be vaccinated due to fears of the potential side effects. Currently, only 22.2% of the population is fully vaccinated.
- Singapore has one of the highest vaccination rates in the world. Currently, 84% of the population is fully vaccinated.
- Thailand began a mass vaccination program using the AstraZeneca vaccine on June 7. Currently, 41.7% of its citizens have been fully vaccinated. Thailand has granted emergency use authorization for the Johnson & Johnson, Moderna, AstraZeneca, and Sinovac vaccines, although only the latter two are actually available.
- Thailand's Food and Drug Administration has approved Siam Bioscience as a manufacturing facility for the COVID-19 AstraZeneca vaccine. Thailand plans to export the vaccines to eight Southeast Asian countries.
- Vietnam has fully vaccinated only 22.8% of its population to date. A Vietnamese pharmaceutical company has begun second phase trials on a coronavirus vaccine.
- Cambodia: According to the Cambodian authorities, the government has vaccinated over 98% of the target adult population of 10 million and 88% of the 12-17 age group of nearly two million, which is 72% of the country’s population. It just kicked off a campaign to vaccinate 6–11-year-olds. According to third party sources, 77.8% of the population has been fully vaccinated, making it the second-highest country with total inoculation in Southeast Asia, after Singapore.
Travel
- Singapore is expanding quarantine-free travel to visitors from Australia and Switzerland, beginning November 8. The Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) is now available to fully vaccinated visitors from nearly a dozen countries, including Brunei, Britain, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and the United States. The U.S. government, however, has raised its COVID-19 travel advisory level for Singapore to the highest risk category and is asking visitors to avoid travel to the country.
- Singapore and Hong Kong agreed to drop their travel bubble that had been scheduled to start May 26 due to an outbreak of cases in Singapore.
- Indonesia: Sponsored business visas are once again available, though a five-day quarantine in a designated hotel is still required. Indonesia reopened international flights to Bali on October 14 for foreign visitors from countries with a positivity rate of less than 5% and who have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19.
- Thailand approved a plan to end quarantine for vaccinated air travelers from the U.S., U.K, China, Germany, and Singapore starting November 1, in a bid to boost tourism ahead of the year-end holiday season. The tourists would be allowed to enter all regions in Thailand by air with no quarantine requirements.
- Malaysia hopes to reopen to international tourists in November, starting with the resort of Langkawi.
- Vietnam is planning to reopen key tourist destinations to fully vaccinated visitors from countries deemed low COVID-19 risk, including the U.S., in December, ahead of a full resumption targeted for June next year. Vietnam had recently announced it would reopen the resort island of Phu Quoc to vaccinated travelers beginning November. In December, the country plans to allow tourists from approved countries to visit the UNESCO World Heritage site Halong Bay and Hoi An, the highlands town of Dalat, and beach destination Nha Trang.
- Philippines: Fully-vaccinated international travelers from countries classified as “green” (low-risk) will no longer be required to undergo facility-based quarantine if they provide a negative COVID-19 test result taken within 72 hours of their departure.
- Staff Contact: Phil Agress (PAgress@AdvaMed.org)
Europe
- Europe is trending overall positive in most of its larger countries, but Germany continues to see spiking of its numbers with commensurate strain on its hospital system. The UK and Russia are also continuing negative trends, although the hospitalization rate in the UK appears to be lower than that in Germany. The UK’s early COVID success has now deteriorated to where is consistently in the lead for new cases in the EU, by a wide margin. Russia’s COVID numbers remains high as well, second worst in the EU, and its deaths per day are now consistently the worst reported figures in Europe.
- The UK’s deaths per day and death rate (deaths per million) have also increased substantially. France and Italy’s improvements can be said to be a solid trend. Spain continues to look good as well. Experts believe the situation in Russia is 7 to 10 times worse in terms of reported fatalities due to significant under-reporting.
- New Daily Case numbers appear in the chart below, and in this section are also compared to prior week. France 6,528 (6,036); Spain 2,532 (2,528); Russia 36,582 (34,073); UK 43,662 (49,139); Italy 4,595 (3,702); Germany 26,099 (18,687); and Belgium 5,745 (3,874).
- In terms of total cases in Europe, see chart below for the specific numbers. The UK is first, Russia second, followed France, Spain, Italy and Germany. Poland, Ukraine, Netherlands and Czech Republic round out the top ten.
- In terms of cases per million in Europe, Czech Republic is the 4thh highest in Europe with 162,258. The UK remains at 9thh, with 130,146. Netherlands is 12th with 122,251; Sweden is 13th with 114,946. Belgium, is 14th France has dropped to 18th and Spain has dropped to 20th (see numbers in chart below). Italy continues to be a winner in this group with just 78,754 cases per million (34th).
- The UK continues to be fourth worst in the world in terms of total cases, behind USA, India, and Brazil. Russia is fifth worst in the world in total cases.
- In terms of deaths per day, Russia remains very high compared to the rest of Europe, at 1,123. Russia’s consistent lead in deaths per day is in contrast to some of its other reported numbers, and is one factor experts cite to indicate the Russian numbers are being significantly under reported. Ukraine, Romania, UK, and Bulgaria comprise the remaining top 5 countries in Europe in deaths per day. Germany is now 6th in Europe in deaths per day
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